Monday, March 13, 2006

No Bold Prediction Here

Using the Log5 formula and applying that to Pythagorean Ratings, UNC has a 90% chance of beating Murray State on Friday. Factor in a little common sense and basketball IQ and I think we easily can round that up to about 97%.

Rest easy Tar Heel fans. Enjoy one game at time...which is easier when you know in advance that the Tar Heels will walk away with a W.

Pythag Winning Pct:
UNC - .941
Murray St. - .644

Log5 Formula:
(.941-.941*.644)/(.941+.644-2*.941*.644) = 89.81%

Source: kenpom.com

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